01513 a2200289 4500 BJBSDDR 20260325105556.0 ta 040620s2013 enk 000 0 eng d 9780141975658 0141975652 eng BJBSDDR eng CB 158 S587s 2013 Silver, Nate, 1978- 12119 The signal and the noise : the art and science of prediction / Nate Silver. London : Penguin books, 2013. 534 pages : illustrations. ; 21 cm. A Catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit? -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to drown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you. Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction. Pronósticos 9820 Predicciones 1002 Teoría bayesiana de decisiones estadísticas 39167 Conocimiento, Teoría del 11517 lcc BK dpf 114308 114308 0 0 lcc 0 0 RR BJB BJB RR 2020-06-04 0 CB 158 S587s 2013 00000143964 2020-06-04 00:00:00 1 2020-06-04 BK