The the art and science of prediction Silver, Nate 1978- creator enk London Penguin books 2013 eng 534 pages : illustrations. ; 21 cm. Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction. A Catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit? -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to drown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you. Nate Silver. Pronósticos Predicciones Teoría bayesiana de decisiones estadísticas Conocimiento, Teoría del CB 158 S587s 2013 9780141975658 0141975652 040620 20260325105556.0 eng