02428cam a2200445 i 4500 117343 117343 20857672 BJBSDDR 20230411090834.0 a|||||r|||| 00| 0 ta 190219s2019 ctua b 001 0 eng d 2019934600 GBB992488 bnb 019410732 Uk 0300244665 (paperback) 9780300244663 (paperback) (OCoLC)on1055260945 YDX eng YDX rda BDX OCLCQ FM0 OCLCO CHVBK YUS SINLB UKMGB OCLCF OCLCO HRM UKOBU VP@ DLC eng lccopycat HB 3730 C353f 2019 330.01/12 Castle, Jennifer L. 27705 Forecasting : an essential introduction / Jennifer L. Castle, Michael P. Clements, David F. Hendry. New Haven ; London : Yale University Press, 2019. xiv, 213 pages : illustrations ; 22 cm text txt rdacontent unmediated n rdamedia volume nc rdacarrier Includes bibliographical references and index. Why do we need forecasts? -- How do we make forecasts? -- Where are we before we forecast? -- How do we judge forecasts? -- How uncertain are our forecasts? -- Are some real world events unpredictable? -- Why do systematic forecast failures occur? -- Can we avoid systematic forecast failures? -- How do we automatically detect breaks? -- Can we forecast breaks before they hit? -- Can we improve forecasts during breaks? -- Would more information be useful? -- Can econometrics improve forecasting? -- Can you trust economic forecasts? Making accurate predictions about the economy has always been difficult, but today forecasters have to contend with increasing complexity and unpredictable feedback loops. This introduction provides an accessible overview of the processes and difficulties of forecasting. For students, for practitioners new to the field, and for general readers interested in how economists forecast. Economic forecasting. Previsión económica 9774 Clements, Michael P. 27706 Hendry, David F. (David Forbes), 27707 1944- 7 cbc copycat 2 ncip 20 y-gencatlg lcc BK 0 0 lcc 0 0 CS BJB BJB CS 2022-10-25 0 HB 3730 C353f 2019 00000165839 2022-10-25 00:00:00 1 2022-10-25 BK