02631cam a22004211i 450000100090000000300080000900500170001700700030003400800410003701000170007802000300009502000270012502000260015202000230017804000250020104100080022604200080023405000250024208200080026710000260027524500940030125000350039526400350043030000450046533600260051033700280053633800270056450400510059150505000064252008390114265000150198165000150199665000150201165000160202665000170204270000290205977601210208820323905BJBSDDR20231122110958.0ta180126s2020    nyu      b    001 0 eng c  a  2017056458  a9781541698963 (paperback)  a1541698967 (paperback)  z9780465097616 (ebook)  z0465097618 (ebook)  aOU/DLCbengcOUerda  aeng  apcc14aQ 175.32bP359b 202000a5011 aPearl, Judea,d 1936-14aThe book of why :bthe new science of cause and effect /cJudea Pearl and Dana Mackenzie.  aFirst trade paperback edition  1aNew York :bBasic Books,c2020  ax, 418 pages : billustrations ; c21 cm  atextbtxt2rdacontent  aunmediatedbn2rdamedia  avolumebnc2rdacarrier  aIncludes bibliographical references and index.0 aThe ladder of causation -- From buccaneers to guinea pigs: the genesis of causal inference -- From evidence to causes: Reverend Bayes meets Mr. Holmes -- Confounding and deconfounding: or, slaying the lurking variable -- The smoke-filled debate: clearing the air -- Paradoxes galore! -- Beyond adjustment: the conquest of Mt. Intervention -- Counterfactuals: mining worlds that could have been -- Mediation: the search for a mechanism -- Big data, artificial intelligence, and the big questions.  a"Everyone has heard the claim, "Correlation does not imply causation." What might sound like a reasonable dictum metastasized in the twentieth century into one of science's biggest obstacles, as a legion of researchers became unwilling to make the claim that one thing could cause another. Even two decades ago, asking a statistician a question like "Was it the aspirin that stopped my headache?" would have been like asking if he believed in voodoo, or at best a topic for conversation at a cocktail party rather than a legitimate target of scientific inquiry. Scientists were allowed to posit only that the probability that one thing was associated with another. This all changed with Judea Pearl, whose work on causality was not just a victory for common sense, but a revolution in the study of the world"--cProvided by publisher. 0aCausation. 4aCausalidad 0aInference. 4aInferencia  4aDeducción 1 aMackenzie, Dana eauthor08iOnline version:aPearl, Judea, author.tBook of whydNew York : Basic Books, [2018]z9780465097616w(DLC) 2018005510