The the new science of cause and effect Pearl, Judea 1936- creator Mackenzie, Dana author text bibliography nyu 2020 First trade paperback edition monographic eng

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x, 418 pages : illustrations ; 21 cm "Everyone has heard the claim, "Correlation does not imply causation." What might sound like a reasonable dictum metastasized in the twentieth century into one of science's biggest obstacles, as a legion of researchers became unwilling to make the claim that one thing could cause another. Even two decades ago, asking a statistician a question like "Was it the aspirin that stopped my headache?" would have been like asking if he believed in voodoo, or at best a topic for conversation at a cocktail party rather than a legitimate target of scientific inquiry. Scientists were allowed to posit only that the probability that one thing was associated with another. This all changed with Judea Pearl, whose work on causality was not just a victory for common sense, but a revolution in the study of the world"-- The ladder of causation -- From buccaneers to guinea pigs: the genesis of causal inference -- From evidence to causes: Reverend Bayes meets Mr. Holmes -- Confounding and deconfounding: or, slaying the lurking variable -- The smoke-filled debate: clearing the air -- Paradoxes galore! -- Beyond adjustment: the conquest of Mt. Intervention -- Counterfactuals: mining worlds that could have been -- Mediation: the search for a mechanism -- Big data, artificial intelligence, and the big questions. Judea Pearl and Dana Mackenzie. Includes bibliographical references and index. Causation Causalidad Inference Inferencia Deducción Q 175.32 P359b 2020 501 Pearl, Judea, author. New York : Basic Books, [2018] (DLC) 2018005510 9781541698963 (paperback) 1541698967 (paperback) 2017056458 OU/DLC 180126 20231122110958.0 20323905 eng