Perlmutter, Saul,  1959- <br/><br/>
Third millennium thinking :  creating sense in a world of nonsense / 
Saul Perlmutter, John Campbell, Robert MacCoun. 
 - First edition. 
 - viii, 305 pages :   illustrations ;   25 cm. 
 - 
<br/><br/>Includes bibliographical references (pages 285-298) and index. 
<br/><br/>Introduction -- Part I: Getting a grip on reality. Decisions, decisions, decisions ; Instruments and reality ; Making things happen -- Part II: Understanding and uncertainty. A radical shift to probablistic thinking ; Overconfidence and humility ; Finding signal in noise ; Seeing things that aren't there ; Pick your poison: Two kinds of error ; Statistical and systematic uncertainty -- Part III: The radical can-do stance. Scientific optimism ; Orders of understanding and Fermi problems -- Part IV: Minding the gaps. Why it's hard to learn from experience ; Science gone wrong ; Confirmation bias and blind analysis -- Part V: Joining forces. The wisdom and madness of crowds ; Weaving facts and values ; The deliberation challege ; Rebooting trust for a new millennium. 
<br/><br/> A Nobel prize-winning physicist, a social psychologist and a philosopher on how science can help us navigate information overload, thrive amidst uncertainty and heal our fractured society. 
<br/><br/><label>ISBN: </label>9780316438100 
<br/><br/><label>LCCN: </label>2024401133 
<br/><br/><label>Subjects--Topical Terms: </label><br/>Cognitive psychology<br/>Decision making<br/>Social psychology<br/>Thought and thinking<br/>decision making<br/>social psychology<br/>thinking<br/>Prise de décision<br/>Psychologie sociale<br/>Pensée<br/>Psychologie cognitive
<br/><br/><label>LC Class. No.: </label>BF441  / P451m 2024 
<br/><br/><label>Dewey Class. No.: </label>153.4/2