creating sense in a world of nonsense Perlmutter, Saul 1959- creator author aut http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut Campbell, John L. 1952- author http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut MacCoun, Robert J. author http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut text bibliography nyu 2024 First edition. monographic eng

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viii, 305 pages : illustrations ; 25 cm. A Nobel prize-winning physicist, a social psychologist and a philosopher on how science can help us navigate information overload, thrive amidst uncertainty and heal our fractured society. Introduction -- Part I: Getting a grip on reality. Decisions, decisions, decisions ; Instruments and reality ; Making things happen -- Part II: Understanding and uncertainty. A radical shift to probablistic thinking ; Overconfidence and humility ; Finding signal in noise ; Seeing things that aren't there ; Pick your poison: Two kinds of error ; Statistical and systematic uncertainty -- Part III: The radical can-do stance. Scientific optimism ; Orders of understanding and Fermi problems -- Part IV: Minding the gaps. Why it's hard to learn from experience ; Science gone wrong ; Confirmation bias and blind analysis -- Part V: Joining forces. The wisdom and madness of crowds ; Weaving facts and values ; The deliberation challege ; Rebooting trust for a new millennium. adult Saul Perlmutter, John Campbell, Robert MacCoun. Includes bibliographical references (pages 285-298) and index. Cognitive psychology Decision making Social psychology Thought and thinking decision making social psychology thinking Prise de décision Psychologie sociale Pensée Psychologie cognitive BF441 P451m 2024 153.4/2 9780316438100 2024401133 VLC 240502 20250820115039.0 23671619 eng