TY  - BOOK
AU  - Perlmutter,Saul
AU  - Campbell,John L.
AU  - MacCoun,Robert J.
TI  - Third millennium thinking: creating sense in a world of nonsense 
SN  - 9780316438100
AV  - BF441 P451m 2024
U1  - 153.4/2 23/eng/20240917
PY  - 2024///
CY  - New York
PB  - Little, Brown Spark
KW  - Cognitive psychology
KW  - Decision making
KW  - Social psychology
KW  - Thought and thinking
KW  - decision making
KW  - aat
KW  - social psychology
KW  - thinking
KW  - Prise de décision
KW  - Psychologie sociale
KW  - Pensée
KW  - Psychologie cognitive
N1  - Includes bibliographical references (pages 285-298) and index; Introduction -- Part I: Getting a grip on reality. Decisions, decisions, decisions ; Instruments and reality ; Making things happen -- Part II: Understanding and uncertainty. A radical shift to probablistic thinking ; Overconfidence and humility ; Finding signal in noise ; Seeing things that aren't there ; Pick your poison: Two kinds of error ; Statistical and systematic uncertainty -- Part III: The radical can-do stance. Scientific optimism ; Orders of understanding and Fermi problems -- Part IV: Minding the gaps. Why it's hard to learn from experience ; Science gone wrong ; Confirmation bias and blind analysis -- Part V: Joining forces. The wisdom and madness of crowds ; Weaving facts and values ; The deliberation challege ; Rebooting trust for a new millennium
N2  - A Nobel prize-winning physicist, a social psychologist and a philosopher on how science can help us navigate information overload, thrive amidst uncertainty and heal our fractured society
ER  -