02936cam a2200397 a 4500 101123 20230410132755.0 100729s2010 nyuabf b 001 0 eng 2010029553 (OCoLC)ocn526057542 DLC DLC BTCTA YDXCP EINCP C#P BUR BWX CDX VP@ ZJI IAD 9780525951810 (hc) 0525951814 (hc) QC 903 S654w 2010 304.209/051 GRAL Smith, Laurence C. The world in 2050 : four forces shaping civilization's northern future / Laurence C. Smith. World in two thousand fifty World in twenty-fifty New York : Dutton, c2010. 322 p., [8] p. of plates : ill., maps ; 24 cm. Flying into Fort McMurray -- Martell's hairy prize -- The push. A tale of teeming cities -- Iron, oil, and wind -- California browning, Shanghai drowning -- The pull. Two weddings and a computer model -- One if by land, two if by sea -- The third wave -- Good-bye harpoon, hello briefcase -- Alternate endings. The Pentagon report -- The new north. "A vivid, scientifically based forecast of our planet in forty years, distilling cutting edge research into these world-changing forces: demographic trends; natural resource demand; climate change; globalization"--Jacket flap. What kind of world are we leaving for our children and grandchildren? Geoscientist Laurence Smith draws on the latest global modeling research to construct a sweeping thought experiment on what our world will be like in 2050. The result is both good news and bad: Eight nations of the Arctic Rim (including the United States) will become increasingly prosperous, powerful, and politically stable, while those closer to the equator will face water shortages, aging populations, and crowded megacities sapped by the rising costs of energy and coastal flooding. Smith combines the lessons of geography and history with state-of-the-art model projections and analytical data--everything from climate dynamics and resource stocks to age distributions and economic growth projections. But Smith offers more than a compendium of statistics and studies--he spent fifteen months traveling the Arctic Rim, collecting stories and insights that resonate throughout the book.--From publisher description. Includes bibliographical references (p. 263-307) and index. Global environmental change Forecasting. Climatic changes Environmental aspects Forecasting. Twenty-first century Forecasts. Baker and Taylor BTCP BK0008800836 YBP Library Services YANK 3368309 Blackwell Book Service BBUS R9865289 $26.95 Coutts Information Services COUT 12276758 lcc bk C0 DRFGD 87512 87512 0 0 lcc 0 0 HU BJB BJB HU 2023-04-10 1 0 QC 903 S654w 2010 00000094009 2018-10-25 00:00:00 1 2018-10-25 bk