02965cam a2200373 a 450000100070000000500170000700800410002403500240006504000640008901500190015301500190017201600180019102000250020902000220023402000250025602000220028103500210030305000250032408200140034910000180036324500820038126000430046330000250050650400640053150007410059550503930133652006430172965000440237265000500241665000310246665000200249765000260251765000480254310203720230410132757.0091111s2010    enk      b    001 0 eng    a(OCoLC)ocn437306066  aUKMcUKMdBTCTAdYDXCPdC#PdBWXdIAKdCOHdQBXdDEBBGdID1  aGBA9B19612bnb  aGBA9B19612dnb7 a0154222782Uk  a9781851687428 (hbk.)  a1851687424 (hbk.)  a9781851687183 (pbk.)  a1851687181 (pbk.)  a(OCoLC)43730606614aQC 981.8bD996c 201000a363.738741 aDyer, Gwynne.10aClimate wars :bthe fight for survival as the world overheats /cGwynne Dyer.  aOxford ;aNew York :bOneworld,c2010.  axv, 297 p. ;c25 cm.  aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 279-283) and index.  a"Waves of climate refugees.  Dozens of failed states.  All-out war.  From one of the world's great geopolitical analysts comes a terrifying glimpse of the strategic realities of the near future, when climate change drives the world's powers towards the cut-throat politics of survival.  An increase of as little as two degrees Celsius in average global temperature -- which is almost inevitable -- would heat global politics to boiling point and trigger massive conflicts over scarce food and water.  Bringing together extensive interviews and the latest research, Gwynne Dyer reveals the truth about our planet's future.  Can our technology save us, or is it too late?  Where do our best hopes for damage limitation lie?"--Dust jacket.00tThe year 2045 --tThe geopolitics of climate change --tRussia, 2019 --tAn inevitable crisis --tUnited States, 2029 --tFeedbacks: How much, how fast? --tNorthern India, 2036 --tWe can fix this... --tA happy tale --t...But probably not in time --tUnited States and United Kingdom, 2055 --tReal world politics --tChina, 2042 --tEmergency measures --tWipeout --tChildhood's end.  a"The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predicts that the average global temperature will rise between 2 degrees and 6.4 degrees Celsius by the end of this century. These are conservative estimates, based on a lowest-common-denominator consensus among scientists and further watered down by governments. They make no allowance for feedback phenomena and potential runaway heating. But a World Bank study in India last year suggested that even 2 degrees hotter means a 25 percent cut in Indian food production. The core problem with climate changes is not sea level rise or bio-diversity; it is food supply"-- Provided by publisher. 0aClimatic changesxRegional disparities. 0aEnvironmental degradationxPolitical aspects. 0aGreenhouse gas mitigation. 0aGlobal warming. 4aCambios climáticos. 4aCambios climáticosxAspectos ambientales.