000			01513 a2200289 4500
003			BJBSDDR
005			20260325105556.0
007			ta
008			040620s2013 enk 000 0 eng d
020			_a9780141975658
020			_a0141975652
040			_beng _cBJBSDDR
041			_aeng
050	1	4	_aCB 158 _bS587s 2013
100	1		_aSilver, Nate, _d1978- _912119
245	1	4	_aThe signal and the noise : _bthe art and science of prediction / _cNate Silver.
260			_aLondon : _bPenguin books, _c2013.
300			_a534 pages : _billustrations. ; _c21 cm.
505	0		_aA Catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit? -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to drown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you.
520			_aSilver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.
650		4	_aPronósticos _99820
650		4	_aPredicciones _91002
650		4	_aTeoría bayesiana de decisiones estadísticas _939167
650		0	_aConocimiento, Teoría del _911517
942			_2lcc _cBK
946			_idpf
999			_c114308 _d114308