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008 100729s2010 nyuabf b 001 0 eng
010 _a 2010029553
035 _a(OCoLC)ocn526057542
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050 1 4 _aQC 903
_bS654w 2010
082 0 0 _a304.209/051
049 _aGRAL
100 1 _aSmith, Laurence C.
245 1 4 _aThe world in 2050 :
_bfour forces shaping civilization's northern future /
_cLaurence C. Smith.
246 3 _aWorld in two thousand fifty
246 3 _aWorld in twenty-fifty
260 _aNew York :
_bDutton,
_cc2010.
300 _a322 p., [8] p. of plates :
_bill., maps ;
_c24 cm.
505 0 _aFlying into Fort McMurray -- Martell's hairy prize -- The push. A tale of teeming cities -- Iron, oil, and wind -- California browning, Shanghai drowning -- The pull. Two weddings and a computer model -- One if by land, two if by sea -- The third wave -- Good-bye harpoon, hello briefcase -- Alternate endings. The Pentagon report -- The new north.
520 _a"A vivid, scientifically based forecast of our planet in forty years, distilling cutting edge research into these world-changing forces: demographic trends; natural resource demand; climate change; globalization"--Jacket flap.
520 _aWhat kind of world are we leaving for our children and grandchildren? Geoscientist Laurence Smith draws on the latest global modeling research to construct a sweeping thought experiment on what our world will be like in 2050. The result is both good news and bad: Eight nations of the Arctic Rim (including the United States) will become increasingly prosperous, powerful, and politically stable, while those closer to the equator will face water shortages, aging populations, and crowded megacities sapped by the rising costs of energy and coastal flooding. Smith combines the lessons of geography and history with state-of-the-art model projections and analytical data--everything from climate dynamics and resource stocks to age distributions and economic growth projections. But Smith offers more than a compendium of statistics and studies--he spent fifteen months traveling the Arctic Rim, collecting stories and insights that resonate throughout the book.--From publisher description.
504 _aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 263-307) and index.
650 0 _aGlobal environmental change
_xForecasting.
650 0 _aClimatic changes
_xEnvironmental aspects
_xForecasting.
650 0 _aTwenty-first century
_vForecasts.
938 _aBaker and Taylor
_bBTCP
_nBK0008800836
938 _aYBP Library Services
_bYANK
_n3368309
938 _aBlackwell Book Service
_bBBUS
_nR9865289
_c$26.95
938 _aCoutts Information Services
_bCOUT
_n12276758
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